Backlash – China in 2020

ChinaFile asked me and some other China people for our predictions about the coming year. This was mine: “Backlash” is the word for China in 2020. Engagement, progress, friendship, admiration, prosperity—the arc of change for China has moved, with the horrific exception of Tiananmen and its aftermath, in a steady, consistent, and predictable direction. Until..

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Must The Dragon Have Two Eyes? – Some Gloomy Thoughts on Hong Kong’s Future

I contributed this to China File. The full conversation is here. By David Schlesinger “The dragon must have two eyes.” This was the inevitable, hopeful refrain whenever I interviewed Hong Kong businessmen in the 1980s, during the long and tortured handover negotiations. Their point was that while Shanghai might flourish, Hong Kong’s sophistication and internationalism..

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